Phillies vs. Tigers prediction, odds, pick – 6/25/2024
Ranger Suarez takes to the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies as they visit the Detroit Tigers. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Tigers prediction and pick.
Phillies-Tigers Projected Starters
Ranger Suarez vs. Tarik Skubal
Ranger Suarez (10-1) with a 1.75 ERA and 0.89 WHIP.
Last Start: Suarez was once against great in his last start. He went six innings, giving up six hits, but just one run on a solo home run. Still, he took the no decision as the Phillies lost 5-2 to the Padres. This month Suarez is 1-0 in four starts, with a 1.77 ERA.
2024 Road Splits: In seven starts on the road, Suarez is 5-1 with a 1.94 ERA and an opponent batting average of just .178.
Tarik Skubal (8-3) with a 2.50 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP
Last Start: Skubal struggled last time out. He went four innings, giving up seven hits, five runs, and four earned. He also gave up two walks and two home runs in a loss to the Braves.
2024 Home Splits: Skubal has been solid at home this year. He is 5-0 in seven starts with a 2.01 ERA and a .184 opponent batting average.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Phillies-Tigers Odds
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+128)
Moneyline: -126
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-154)
Moneyline: +108
Over: 7.5 (-115)
Under: 7.5 (-105)
How to Watch Phillies vs. Tigers
Time: 6:40 PM ET/ 3;40 PM PT
TV: NBCSP/BSDET
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Phillies are fourth in the majors in runs scored, while sitting third in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging. Alec Bohm is driving in a ton of runs this year. He is hitting .304 on the year, with 27 doubles and eight home runs. Bohm has 61 RBIs and 36 runs scored. Meanwhile, Bryce Harper continues to slug well. He is hitting .297 on the year with a .397 on-base percentage. He has 18 home runs and 51 RBIs while scoring 48 times. Leading the team in runs scored is Kyle Schwarber. He is hitting .254 on the year with 17 home runs and 49 RBIs. Schwarber also leads the team with 57 runs scored this year.
In the last week, Nick Castellanos has been on fire. He is hitting .478 in the last week with two home runs and eight RBIs. He has also scored three times. Kyle Schwarber also continues to hit well. He is hitting .318 in the last week with three home runs, six RBIs and seven runs scored. The hottest bat in the lineup might be Bryce Harber. He is hitting .462 with a .481 on-base percentage. He has three home runs, three doubles, five RBIs, and seven runs scored in the last week.
Current members of the Phillies have just 27 career at-bats against Tarik Skubal. Most of the experience comes from Whit Merrifield. He has 20 career at-bats against Skubal, with five hits and one RBI.
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers are 20th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 24th in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging. Riley Greene has led the way this year. He is hitting .261 on the year with a .356 on-base percentage. He has 15 doubles and 15 home runs, leading to 40 RBIs on the year. Greene also has 50 runs scored. Meanwhile, Matt Vierling is also hitting well this year. He is hitting .258 on the year with nine doubles and nine home runs. He has 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored as well. Rounding out the top bats is Mark Canha. He is hitting .243 on the year with a .351 on-base percentage. Canha has just six home runs, but 30 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
Riley Greene also comes into this game hot. He is hitting .389 in the last week with a triple and a home run. He has four RBIs in the last six games and two runs scored. Colt Keith is also hot. He has hitting .348 in the last week with a .400 on-base percentage. He has a home run and three RBIs while scoring three times this year.
Current members of the Tigersa have just 21 career at-bats against Ranger Suarez. Carson Kelly has 14 at-bats with three hits and four RBIs. Mark Canha is two for six with a home run and three RBIs.
Final Phillies-Tigers Prediction & Pick
This is going to be a great pitching match-up. Tarik Skubal has been solid this year, but he has not been as good in the last month. Further, he is not getting much run support. He will not get run support in this one either against Ranger Suarez. Take the Phillies in this one.
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Final Phillies-Tigers Prediction & Pick: Phillies ML
The post Phillies vs. Tigers prediction, odds, pick – 6/25/2024 appeared first on ClutchPoints.
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