ESPN predicts every game outcome on Colorado’s 2024 schedule
ESPN predicted the outcome of every Colorado game on the 2024 schedule via the FPI and it could be a wild year for the Buffaloes.
Will Colorado play in the postseason? If so, how high will this team climb? The schedule could indicate a tough road to get there though. But that’s why they play the games.
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Let’s dive into Colorado’s schedule game-by-game using ESPN’s FPI predictions.
Aug. 29: Colorado vs. North Dakota State – 71.3% chance to win
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
One of the most hyped games of the opening night of college football in 2024. North Dakota State can present a lot of problems for the Buffaloes.
However, ESPN’s FPI loves Colorado in this game, putting the percentage over 70%. Plus, a home atmosphere at night should be great for Deion Sanders and crew.
Sept. 7: Colorado at Nebraska – 48.1% chance to win
Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule (Photo by Casey Fritton/HuskerOnline)
It seems like everyone circled this game in the offseason considering the expected turnaround in Year 2 for the Huskers. This one’s in Lincoln and the old school Big 12 matchup is back.
Granted, Nebraska is in the Big Ten, but we love a middle America clash. The FPI has Nebraska by a hair but Colorado could certainly steal it on the road.
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Sept. 14: Colorado at Colorado State – 77.9% chance to win
© Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports
This rematch will be must-see TV after last year’s game boiled over just a bit. An overtime classic that put Colorado to 3-0 in September might have the same scenario this year.
This time, the Buffaloes are a heavy favorite per the FPI. Colorado State wants revenge and Jay Norvell could get the last laugh when it’s all said and done.
Sept. 21: Colorado vs. Baylor – 65.5% chance to win
Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports
Here’s a chance for Colorado to build a bit of a winning streak to begin Big 12 play. Baylor is in a weird spot after getting off to a great start under Dave Aranda.
But it’d be a great start to a new era of Big 12 football for Colorado. ESPN’s FPI likes the Buffaloes’ chances in this one.
Sept. 28: Colorado at UCF – 35.7% chance to win
Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
Going to Central Florida is going to be a difficult task. Gus Malzahn’s Knights have been competitive since he took over the program and could realistically win the Big 12 this year.
Colorado? Well, we’ll see. ESPN’s FPI isn’t confident in the Buffaloes in this one, but it’s not out of the realm of possibility.
Oct. 12: Colorado vs. Kansas State – 44.1% chance to win
Jeremy Reper-USA TODAY Sports
Yes, Colorado hosts Kansas State, but the Wildcats are always a tough out. There’s a lot of hype around QB Avery Johnson and if he keeps improving as a passer, the Buffaloes defense could be in trouble.
ESPN’s FPI likes the Wildcats on the road, but it’s closer to a toss up then a heavy favorite. Colorado might get the backing of the home crowd especially if the team gets off to a great start.
Oct. 19: Colorado at Arizona – 36.1% chance to win
© Gary A. Vasquez | USA TODAY Sports
Arizona is going to be a problem this season and is one of the many teams you can make an argument to win the Big 12, especially in the school’s first year in the conference. A new Big 12 matchup here, Colorado is going to face a tough environment on the road in mid-October.
ESPN’s FPI teetered towards a 70% chance to win for the Wildcats. Coming off a tough game with Kansas State, the Buffaloes could be up against it here.
Oct. 26: Colorado vs. Cincinnati – 72.4% chance to win
© Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports
Cincinnati is rebuilding a bit, but the Bearcats are no pushover. However, the FPI metrics say Colorado is a big favorite in this game, hosting a new Big 12 foe.
This game, going into November, could be the biggest indicator of where Colorado will be going into the final four games. Bowl bound? Playoff contender? Or big disappointment?
Nov. 9: Colorado at Texas Tech – 42.9% chance to win
Joey McGuire, Texas Tech – © Annie Rice/Avalanche-Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK
Another chance for Colorado to pad the record with a win. But make no mistake, Texas Tech is a tough opponent.
ESPN’s FPI likes the Red Raiders by a nearly 60% chance to win. It won’t be an automatic win for Texas Tech though as Colorado should be able to bring the fight.
Nov. 16: Colorado vs. Utah – 50.3% chance to win
(Rob Gray-USA TODAY Sports)
Here’s where it’s a little surprising. Utah is a consistent playoff contender under Kyle Whittingham but Colorado is the slight favorite per the FPI.
Still, this is practically a tossup if you play the percentages. Although it’d be fascinating to see what the line on this game is when we get closer.
Nov. 23: Colorado at Kansas – 31.7% chance to win
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Whatever Lance Leipold is doing at Kansas, it’s working. Colorado going to Kansas is going to be tough, especially late in the season.
The ESPN FPI favors the Jayhawks in a big way, but never say never with the Buffs This is still going to be one of harder games on the schedule though.
Nov. 29: Colorado vs. Oklahoma State – 49.7% chance to win
Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State – © NATHAN J. FISH/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK
A big toss up game to end the season and Oklahoma State comes to town. As of now, ESPN barely likes the Cowboys in the FPI.
Could Colorado win this game? Sure. Could Oklahoma State run away with it, especially if they reach their potential? Sure.
Based on the percentages, Sanders’ team is expected to go 5-7 if you go by games that have over 50% chance to win. There are some toss ups and close games on the schedule, but it’s time to take it to the field 8 p.m. ET Thursday.
The post ESPN predicts every game outcome on Colorado’s 2024 schedule appeared first on On3.
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