Holy Wager: Bettors Back 3% Odds for Jesus’ 2025 Return on Polymarket

Jamie Redman
A wager on the blockchain prediction market Polymarket is hedging its bets on divinity, offering 3% odds that Jesus Christ will return in 2025.
Holy Wager: Bettors Back 3% Odds for Jesus’ 2025 Return on Polymarket
Betting on the Messiah—Polymarket’s Unusual 2025 Bet
The bet, hosted on blockchain-powered platform prediction marketplace Polymarket, has drawn $44,760 in trading volume, with speculators wagering on whether biblical prophecies will culminate in a 2025 Second Coming. While most theologians dismiss date-setting, the market reflects niche interpretations of scripture gaining traction online.
Holy Wager: Bettors Back 3% Odds for Jesus’ 2025 Return on Polymarket
The Polymarket Jesus bet on March 21, 2025.
Central to the 2025 theory are two fringe analyses. The Church of God Ministry posits a 24-year “redeemed time” period starting in 2000 and ending in the fall of 2025. Another group, dubbed Free Gift From God, recalibrates Daniel’s “Seventy Weeks” prophecy using a 1535 Ottoman decree, linking Cardinal George Pell’s 2018 conviction to a seven-year countdown to 2025.
Mainstream Christianity rejects such timelines, citing Matthew 24:36: “No one knows the day or hour.” Yet, despite this, the Polymarket bet highlights how modern tech intersects with ancient eschatology. Traders—perhaps more focused on ROI than rapture—are capitalizing on the debate.
Quirky details fuel the theories. One interpretation ties Christ’s return to the setup and removal of a “continual burnt offering” between May 2021 and May 2022. Others cite historical footnotes, like Suleiman the Magnificent’s 1535 decree, as prophetic pivot points.
For now, Polymarket’s odds remain a celestial curiosity—a blend of blockchain bravado and apocalyptic arithmetic. The bet’s rules are as follows: “This market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ‘No.’ The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.”
The Jesus-themed prediction arrives as a separate Polymarket wager—racking up $14.2 million in trades—faces intense scrutiny over its unresolved status. Titled “Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?” the bet hinges on whether former President Donald Trump’s Executive Order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) satisfies the criteria.
Despite Trump’s action, the outcome remains contested. The bet’s guidelines ambiguously state that “the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves,” leaving traders divided on whether the SBR qualifies. This ambiguity raises a tantalizing question: Could similar disputes cloud the 2025 Second Coming bet? Whether 2025 brings salvation or settlement, the market’s open until prophecy meets profit.
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